ON THIS day in history, July 22, 2003, Saddam's two son's and his grandson and apparent heir Mustapha, 14, were killed in a firefight with U.S. troops in Mosul. U.S. troops had moved into the country as a liberating force on March 19, 2003.
Three and a half years down the road how do things look? Iraq is no longer a threat to anyone. Will the country break along religious divides? I don't know. Is there a fifth column in the United States doing more damage to the war effort than the insurgents? Yes. Can they force GW Bush to pull troops out before time? No.
Crucially, does any of this matter? While losing Iraq would be a calamity, there is even more at stake now. Usually the arc of history is only visible in hindsight.
Today, the vapor trail is in the sky, obvious to all those that have the courage to look. During the Cold War, everyone saw the lift off, but the ICBM simply kept going straight up. It never acquired a target and thus a predictable trajectory. Eventually it simply ran out fuel.
Not so today. To beat this metaphor into submission, we have seen the lift off, the boost phase and now, while the precise target and resulting damage is still beyond our predictive vision, the trajectory is clear.
The only question now is when it lands. Diplomacy, "peace" movements--these are simply activities to make us less afraid and to stall decisive action. It doesn't matter if you are a head-in-the-sand liberal, an isolationist, or a nuke 'em all conservative. All your shouting and arguing won't change a thing. The barbarians really are at the gate and the sky really is falling. God help us all.


